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Panaderia vs Lanzarote

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
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Match Events

42' Event
Ndiaye M.
90'
Blas A.
90'
Blas A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Panaderia
39%
Draws
30%
Lanzarote
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Panaderia have won more games recently than Lanzarote.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Panaderia Clean Sheet 19%
Lanzarote Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panaderia Lanzarote
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 9 12
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Lanzarote
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Panaderia
2:1
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Panaderia vs Lanzarote
3:1
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Panaderia
1:1
May 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Lanzarote vs Panaderia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panaderia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ponce A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Lanzarote Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panaderia 32 / 100
Lanzarote 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panaderia Lanzarote

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Panaderia scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Lanzarote's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Panaderia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Panaderia VS Lanzarote
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Panaderia

(Home)
24 May
UD San Fernando
1 : 2
Panaderia
16 May
Panaderia
0 : 2
UD San Fernando
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
03 May
San Miguel
1 : 1
Panaderia
25 Apr
Panaderia
1 : 1
Atletico Paso
Page 1 of 6

Lanzarote

(Away)
10 May
Lanzarote
0 : 0
Real Union Tenerife
03 May
San Bartolome
1 : 1
Lanzarote
25 Apr
Tamaraceite
1 : 1
Lanzarote
19 Apr
Lanzarote
1 : 1
UD San Fernando
11 Apr
Herbania
0 : 0
Lanzarote
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Paso341813351:1967
2UD San Fernando34199649:2366
3Mensajero34189751:3163
4Tamaraceite34196956:3663
5Panaderia341510947:3355
6Las Palmas C341591058:4254
7Tenerife C3414101049:4652
8Villa Santa Brigida341551442:3550
9Lanzarote3412121045:3648
10Real Union Tenerife341291334:3245
11San Miguel341091537:4339
12CD Marino348151144:4039
13Union Sur Yaiza341081633:4338
14San Bartolome348121430:5536
15Arucas347121531:4733
16Herbania347111639:5832
17SD Tenisca34672132:6825
18Telde345101930:7125
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)