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Panama vs Suriname

World World

World Championship 2026 Estadio Rommel Fernandez, Panama City
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Margaret R.
Assist: Chery T.
46'
Sub
Kenneth P. In: Klas D.
Out: Kenneth P.
57'
Sub
Barcenas Y. In: Diaz I.
Out: Barcenas Y.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Panama and Suriname finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Panama
30%
Draws
39%
Suriname
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Suriname

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Panama carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Suriname's way, sitting at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Panama Clean Sheet 19%
Suriname Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panama Suriname
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.52 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2025 World Championship
Panama vs Suriname
1:1
Sep 4, 2025 World Championship
Suriname vs Panama
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panama Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Suriname Compare

Top Goalscorer Margaret R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panama 16 / 100
Suriname 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panama Suriname

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suriname Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Panama scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Suriname has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Panama remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Panama VS Suriname
1.38 Goals Scored 1.67
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Panama

(Home)
27 Jun
Panama
0 : 2
England
23 Jun
Panama
0 : 1
Croatia
17 Jun
Ghana
1 : 0
Panama
06 Jun
Panama
1 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina
04 Jun
Panama
4 : 2
Dominican Republic
Page 1 of 7

Suriname

(Away)
26 Mar
Bolivia
2 : 1
Suriname
19 Nov
Guatemala
3 : 1
Suriname
13 Nov
Suriname
4 : 0
El Salvador
15 Oct
Panama
1 : 1
Suriname
10 Oct
Suriname
1 : 1
Guatemala
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
2 Suriname 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Guatemala 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
4 El Salvador 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 3 3 0 13:3 12
2 Jamaica 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
3 Trinidad & Tobago 6 1 4 1 7:6 7
4 Bermuda 6 0 1 5 4:23 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
2 Honduras 6 2 3 1 5:2 9
3 Costa Rica 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
4 Nicaragua 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)