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Panama W vs Aruba W

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship Women Estadio Universitario F.C., Penonomé
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Susanna V.
16' Event
Tanner R.
Assist: King S.
29' Event
Hernandez A.
Assist: King S.

AI Match Summary

Panama W in this CONCACAF Championship Women matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Panama W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Panama W
15%
Draws
40%
Aruba W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Panama W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Panama W lately — more wins on the board than Aruba W.
  • Win probability leans Panama W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CONCACAF Championship Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Panama W Clean Sheet 68%
Aruba W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panama W Aruba W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.87 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.66
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 CONCACAF Championship Women
Panama W vs Aruba W
3:1
Apr 9, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women
Aruba W vs Panama W
0:9

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Panama W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanner R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Aruba W Compare

Top Goalscorer Susanna V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.51
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panama W 95 / 100
Aruba W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panama W Aruba W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panama W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aruba W has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

Panama W scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Panama W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Panama W VS Aruba W
1.88 Goals Scored 2.43
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.57
75% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Panama W

(Home)
09 Jun
Panama W
0 : 0
Jamaica W
06 Jun
Panama W
0 : 1
Jamaica W
18 Apr
Panama W
3 : 0
Cuba W
10 Apr
Panama W
3 : 1
Aruba W
04 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis W
0 : 3
Panama W
Page 1 of 7

Aruba W

(Away)
14 Apr
Curacao W
1 : 6
Aruba W
10 Apr
Panama W
3 : 1
Aruba W
08 Mar
Aruba W
0 : 1
Cuba W
29 Nov
Aruba W
2 : 1
Saint Kitts and Nevis W
01 Jun
Suriname W
1 : 7
Aruba W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mexico W 4 4 0 0 36:0 12
2 Puerto Rico W 4 3 0 1 26:6 9
3 Saint Vincent and the Grenadines W 4 2 0 2 2:24 6
4 United States Virgin Islands W 4 1 0 3 3:20 3
5 Saint Lucia W 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jamaica W 4 4 0 0 27:2 12
2 Nicaragua W 4 3 0 1 23:4 9
3 Guyana W 4 2 0 2 8:5 6
4 Antigua and Barbuda W 4 0 1 3 1:13 1
5 Dominica W 4 0 1 3 1:36 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Costa Rica W 4 4 0 0 34:1 12
2 Guatemala W 4 3 0 1 23:4 9
3 Bermuda W 4 2 0 2 10:15 6
4 Grenada W 4 1 0 3 7:14 3
5 Cayman Islands W 4 0 0 4 1:41 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti W 4 3 1 0 17:1 10
2 Dominican Republic W 4 2 2 0 17:4 8
3 Belize W 4 2 0 2 5:15 6
4 Suriname W 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
5 Anguilla W 4 0 0 4 1:18 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama W 4 4 0 0 15:2 12
2 Cuba W 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
3 Aruba W 4 2 0 2 9:6 6
4 Curacao W 4 1 0 3 4:16 3
5 Saint Kitts and Nevis W 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 El Salvador W 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 Trinidad & Tobago W 3 1 1 1 7:4 4
3 Honduras W 3 1 1 1 6:5 4
4 Barbados W 3 0 0 3 0:22 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Championship Women (Main)