Sport Picks
Panathinaikos vs Aris - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Greece
Greek Cup Olympic Stadium of Athens, Athens 
Match Events
10'
10'
Kontouris S.
Assist: Louza I.
40'
40'
Mir R.
58'
58'
Sub
Dele-Bashiru T. In: Kouame C.
Out: Dele-Bashiru T.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
15%
44%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aris
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Panathinaikos come out ahead of Aris on wins alone.
- 41% — that's where the model lands on Panathinaikos taking it.
- Panathinaikos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Panathinaikos, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 68%
Aris Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Panathinaikos | Aris |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 28, 2026 Greek Cup
Panathinaikos vs Aris
2:1
Mar 1, 2026 Super League
Panathinaikos vs Aris
3:1
Jan 14, 2026 Greek Cup
Panathinaikos vs Aris
3:0
Oct 19, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Panathinaikos
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Panathinaikos
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Panathinaikos Compare
Top Goalscorer Kontouris S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rastoder E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Aris Compare
Top Goalscorer Kadewere T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Panathinaikos 86 / 100
Aris 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Panathinaikos Aris
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Panathinaikos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Panathinaikos's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Aris's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Panathinaikos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Panathinaikos VS Aris
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Panathinaikos
(Home) 25 Oct
Volos
0 : 1 Panathinaikos
22 Oct
Kairat Almaty
1 : 5 Panathinaikos
18 Oct
Panathinaikos
5 : 1 Asteras Tripolis
15 Oct
Panathinaikos
2 : 1 Borac Banja Luka
11 Oct
Olympiacos Piraeus
1 : 0 Panathinaikos
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Panathinaikos
5 : 1 Asteras Tripolis
15 Oct
Panathinaikos
2 : 1 Borac Banja Luka
13 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 0 Panetolikos
10 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1 Kifisia
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1 PAOK
Page 1 of 3
Aris
(Away) 25 Oct
Aris
3 : 1 Atromitos
18 Oct
Kifisia
1 : 2 Aris
11 Oct
Aris
3 : 2 Volos
19 Sept
Aris
0 : 0 Iraklis FC
16 Sept
Aris
1 : 0 Marko
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Kifisia
1 : 2 Aris
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0 Aris
10 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 1 Aris
05 Sept
AEK
5 : 0 Aris
22 Aug
Kalamata
2 : 3 Aris
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Panathinaikos | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 4 | OFI Crete | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 4 |
| 5 | Asteras Tripolis | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 6 | Aris | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | PAOK | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 8 | Kifisia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 9 | Atromitos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 10 | Niki Volos | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 11 | Kalamata | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 12 | Volos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 13 | Marko | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 14 | AEL Larissa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 15 | Chrisoupolis | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
| 16 | Panserraikos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
