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Panegialios FC vs Ermis Meligous

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 game between Panegialios FC and Ermis Meligous finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Panegialios FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Panegialios FC
11%
Draws
9%
Ermis Meligous
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Panegialios FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Panegialios FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Panegialios FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Panegialios FC Clean Sheet 20%
Ermis Meligous Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panegialios FC Ermis Meligous
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 4 22
Goals Scored 1.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 0.25 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Ermis Meligous vs Panegialios FC
1:4
Nov 23, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 4
Panegialios FC vs Ermis Meligous
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panegialios FC 76 / 100
Ermis Meligous 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panegialios FC Ermis Meligous

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panegialios FC scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Ermis Meligous's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Panegialios FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Panegialios FC VS Ermis Meligous
1.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pyrgos22182245:756
2Zakynthos22164247:1152
3Panegialios FC22155240:1550
4Miltiadis2296732:2333
5Korinthos2288635:3132
6Pelopas Kiatou22921120:3229
7Panthouriakos2277829:2528
8Loutraki FC22841018:1828
9Panachaiki2276929:2627
10Thyella Patras22561120:3021
11Ermis Meligous22241613:4010
12Pangytheatikos2202208:782