Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Panetolikos vs Aris

Greece Greece

Greek Cup Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Rose L.
27'
Galiatsos D.
46'
Sub
Voriazidis M. In: Moron L.
Out: Voriazidis M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Aris advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Panetolikos
6%
Draws
90%
Aris
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aris come out ahead of Panetolikos on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aris a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Aris arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aris, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Aris here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 14%
Aris Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panetolikos Aris
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Aris
0:1
Jan 6, 2026 Greek Cup
Aris vs Panetolikos
2:0
Sep 17, 2025 Greek Cup
Panetolikos vs Aris
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Panetolikos
0:2
Feb 23, 2025 Super League
Aris vs Panetolikos
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panetolikos 10 / 100
Aris 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panetolikos Aris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aris has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Panetolikos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Panetolikos scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Panetolikos VS Aris
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Panetolikos

(Home)
16 Jul
Omonia
2 : 1
Panetolikos
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
17 May
Panserraikos
1 : 1
Panetolikos
12 May
Panetolikos
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
09 May
Atromitos
1 : 2
Panetolikos
Page 1 of 6

Aris

(Away)
30 Jul
Monza
1 : 3
Aris
17 May
Aris
3 : 0
Levadiakos
13 May
Volos
1 : 2
Aris
10 May
Aris
3 : 1
OFI Crete
03 May
OFI Crete
0 : 2
Aris
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olympiacos Piraeus440018:312
2Levadiakos440010:312
3AEK44006:112
4Panathinaikos44006:212
5Aris43106:210
6OFI Crete43017:39
7Volos421110:77
8PAOK421110:77
9Atromitos42117:57
10Kifisia41214:45
11Asteras Tripolis41127:44
12Panetolikos41125:44
13Iraklis FC41122:94
14Athens Kallithea41033:53
15Ellas Syrou41038:133
16AEL Larissa40134:91
17Kavala40133:81
18Marko40134:101
19Ilioupoli40041:100
20PAE Egaleo40041:130
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup (Play Offs)