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Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis

Greece Greece

Super League Panetolikos Stadium, Agrinio
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Panetolikos host Asteras Tripolis in the Super League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Asteras Tripolis have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Panetolikos have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Asteras Tripolis slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 21, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (0.94 - 1.19) back Asteras Tripolis to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Panetolikos
39%
Draws
30%
Asteras Tripolis
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Panetolikos haven't matched Asteras Tripolis's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Panetolikos Clean Sheet 20%
Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panetolikos Asteras Tripolis
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
1:2
Apr 22, 2026 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos
2:1
Feb 14, 2026 Super League
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
3:1
Nov 22, 2025 Super League
Asteras Tripolis vs Panetolikos
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Club Friendly
Panetolikos vs Asteras Tripolis
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panetolikos 32 / 100
Asteras Tripolis 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panetolikos Asteras Tripolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AST Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Asteras Tripolis conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Panetolikos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Panetolikos scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Panetolikos VS Asteras Tripolis
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Panetolikos

(Home)
16 Jul
Omonia
2 : 1
Panetolikos
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
17 May
Panserraikos
1 : 1
Panetolikos
12 May
Panetolikos
1 : 1
AEL Larissa
09 May
Atromitos
1 : 2
Panetolikos
Page 1 of 6

Asteras Tripolis

(Away)
28 Jul
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
21 May
Panetolikos
1 : 2
Asteras Tripolis
16 May
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0
Kifisia
12 May
Asteras Tripolis
1 : 0
Panserraikos
09 May
AEL Larissa
1 : 1
Asteras Tripolis
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kalamata00000:00
2Iraklis FC00000:00
3OFI Crete00000:00
4Panathinaikos00000:00
5AEK00000:00
6Olympiacos Piraeus00000:00
7Aris00000:00
8Asteras Tripolis00000:00
9PAOK00000:00
10Levadiakos00000:00
11Atromitos00000:00
12Panetolikos00000:00
13Kifisia00000:00
14Volos00000:00
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)