Sport Picks

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Pantanal vs Operario MS

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Everton Kanela
90' Event
Lanza T.
90' Event
Tassio

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Operario MS advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Pantanal
20%
Draws
60%
Operario MS
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Operario MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Pantanal haven't matched Operario MS's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Operario MS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Operario MS, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Pantanal Clean Sheet 19%
Operario MS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pantanal Operario MS
Matches Played 31 48
Wins 10 23
Draws 12 15
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.39 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Pantanal
3:0
Mar 22, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Pantanal vs Operario MS
1:2
Mar 16, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Pantanal
2:2
Mar 2, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Pantanal
1:4
Apr 7, 2024 Sul-Matogrossense
Operario MS vs Pantanal
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pantanal Compare

Top Goalscorer Tassio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Operario MS Compare

Top Goalscorer Everton Kanela
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lanza T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pantanal 32 / 100
Operario MS 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pantanal Operario MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario MS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pantanal found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Operario MS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 48 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Operario MS's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Operario MS
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pantanal

(Home)
01 Mar
Pantanal
2 : 2
Ivinhema
22 Feb
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
2 : 0
Pantanal
18 Feb
Ji-Parana
2 : 0
Pantanal
11 Feb
Bataguassu
1 : 1
Pantanal
07 Feb
Pantanal
2 : 3
Naviraiense
Page 1 of 7

Operario MS

(Away)
14 Jun
Betim FC
2 : 1
Operario MS
31 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
CRAC
23 May
ABECAT Ouvidorense
2 : 0
Operario MS
16 May
Operario MS
2 : 0
Ivinhema
09 May
Operario MS
1 : 2
Uberlandia
Page 1 of 10

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ivinhema -
TBD -
Dourados 3
Aguia Negra 4
Pantanal -
TBD -
Operario MS 4
Costa Rica 1
Semi-finals
Ivinhema 5
Aguia Negra 1
Pantanal 3
Operario MS 4
Final
Ivinhema 0
Operario MS 2