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Panthrakikos vs Ethnikos Neou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs game between Panthrakikos and Ethnikos Neou finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Panthrakikos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Panthrakikos
20%
Draws
42%
Ethnikos Neou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ethnikos Neou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Ethnikos Neou haven't matched Panthrakikos's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Panthrakikos's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Panthrakikos Clean Sheet 19%
Ethnikos Neou Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Panthrakikos Ethnikos Neou
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 20 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.21 2.24
Goals Conceded 0.76 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs
Ethnikos Neou vs Panthrakikos
3:2
Apr 29, 2026 Gamma Ethniki - Promotion Play-offs
Panthrakikos vs Ethnikos Neou
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Panthrakikos 49 / 100
Ethnikos Neou 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Panthrakikos Ethnikos Neou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Panthrakikos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Panthrakikos found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Ethnikos Neou conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Panthrakikos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Panthrakikos VS Ethnikos Neou
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Panthrakikos

(Home)
03 Oct
Panthrakikos
1 : 1
Panserraikos
28 Sept
Marko
2 : 1
Panthrakikos
21 Sept
Panthrakikos
1 : 0
Niki Volos
14 Sept
Panthrakikos
2 : 0
PAOK B
05 Sept
Panthrakikos
0 : 0
Pyrgos
Page 1 of 6

Ethnikos Neou

(Away)
04 Oct
Ethnikos Neou
1 : 0
Feraios
26 Sept
Elassona
3 : 0
Ethnikos Neou
17 May
Elassona
2 : 3
Ethnikos Neou
14 May
Ethnikos Neou
3 : 2
Panthrakikos
10 May
Apollon Kalamaria
3 : 2
Ethnikos Neou
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Apollon Kalamaria 6 4 1 1 10:7 13
2 Panthrakikos 6 4 0 2 13:6 12
3 Ethnikos Neou 6 2 0 4 11:14 6
4 Elassona 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zakynthos 6 3 2 1 8:4 11
2 Pyrgos 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
3 Aris Petroupolis 6 2 2 2 4:4 8
4 Ethnikos Piraeus 6 1 2 3 3:4 5
Promotion - Super League 2 (Main)