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PAO Varda vs Vyzas FC

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 2023/2024 game between PAO Varda and Vyzas FC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PAO Varda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
PAO Varda
28%
Draws
22%
Vyzas FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: PAO Varda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • PAO Varda carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on PAO Varda taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors PAO Varda here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
PAO Varda Clean Sheet 20%
Vyzas FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAO Varda Vyzas FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
PAO Varda vs Vyzas FC
3:0
Dec 17, 2023 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Vyzas FC vs PAO Varda
2:4
Apr 10, 2016 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
Vyzas FC vs PAO Varda
0:3
Dec 6, 2015 Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
PAO Varda vs Vyzas FC
2:1
Feb 1, 2015 Football League 2 - Group C
Vyzas FC vs PAO Varda
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAO Varda 49 / 100
Vyzas FC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAO Varda Vyzas FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Vyzas FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Vyzas FC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

PAO Varda scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

PAO Varda VS Vyzas FC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panargiakos34237449:1376
2Korinthos34217658:2970
3Thyella Diastavroseos34198752:2865
4Ellas Syrou342031166:3063
5Kyanos Astir Varis34188855:2262
6Marko341681042:3656
7Ialisos341671140:3455
8Rodos341510951:2955
9Panegialios FC341741356:4355
10Mykonos341561351:3551
11Afantou3413111042:3650
12PAO Varda341341733:4943
13Pyliou341071735:4837
14Panelefsiniakos F.C.341122136:6635
15Vyzas FC34891732:6433
16Filiatron345111835:5423
17Ermionidas-Ermis34572224:5822
18Mesolongi AE34033116:993