Sport Picks

PAOK Alexandreia vs Aetos Varvaras - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021

Aetos Varvaras

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

PAOK Alexandreia host Aetos Varvaras in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021. This has Aetos Varvaras written all over it on paper. Aetos Varvaras have shipped 2.77 goals a game lately, while PAOK Alexandreia have conceded 3.21 and scored 0.79. Past meetings favor Aetos Varvaras slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2021, ending 6:3. The numbers (2.29 xG vs 0.74) point toward Aetos Varvaras. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

PAOK Alexandreia

15%

Draws

Aetos Varvaras

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PAOK Alexandreia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Aetos Varvaras come out ahead of PAOK Alexandreia on wins alone.
Win probability leans PAOK Alexandreia's way, sitting at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%

PAOK Alexandreia Clean Sheet 20%

Aetos Varvaras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	PAOK Alexandreia	Aetos Varvaras
Matches Played	14	31
Wins	1	6
Draws	1	4
Losses	12	21
Goals Scored	0.79	0.87
Goals Conceded	3.21	2.77
Expected Goals (xG)	2.29	0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

Aetos Varvaras vs PAOK Alexandreia

6:3

Apr 11, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2

PAOK Alexandreia vs Aetos Varvaras

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK Alexandreia 67 / 100

Aetos Varvaras 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

PAOK Alexandreia Aetos Varvaras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAOK Alexandreia Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aetos Varvaras's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Aetos Varvaras lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: PAOK Alexandreia scored in 43% of their last 14 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aetos Varvaras

0 Goals Scored 0.38

0 Goals Conceded 3.38

0% Over 1.5 100%

0% Over 2.5 75%

0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History