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PAOK Kristonis vs Iraklis Thermaikou - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PAOK Kristonis host Iraklis Thermaikou in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: PAOK Kristonis at 1.13 goals for, 1.5 against; Iraklis Thermaikou at 1.38 for, 0.76 against. Head-to-head, PAOK Kristonis have won 1 to Iraklis Thermaikou's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Dec 14, 2025, ending 2:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.94) back Iraklis Thermaikou to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
PAOK Kristonis
20%
Draws
63%
Iraklis Thermaikou
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iraklis Thermaikou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Iraklis Thermaikou carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Iraklis Thermaikou are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
PAOK Kristonis Clean Sheet 10%
Iraklis Thermaikou Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK Kristonis Iraklis Thermaikou
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 10
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
PAOK Kristonis vs Iraklis Thermaikou
2:0
Sep 28, 2025 Gamma Ethniki - Group 1
Iraklis Thermaikou vs PAOK Kristonis
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK Kristonis 10 / 100
Iraklis Thermaikou 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK Kristonis Iraklis Thermaikou

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraklis Thermaikou Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PAOK Kristonis found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Iraklis Thermaikou has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: PAOK Kristonis stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PAOK Kristonis VS Iraklis Thermaikou
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

PAOK Kristonis

(Home)
03 Oct
Mpam
3 : 1
PAOK Kristonis
27 Sept
Poseidonas Michanionas
5 : 1
PAOK Kristonis
08 Apr
Kilkisiakos
2 : 0
PAOK Kristonis
05 Apr
PAOK Kristonis
3 : 1
Orestis Orestiadas
01 Apr
Thermaikos FC
3 : 2
PAOK Kristonis
Page 1 of 6

Iraklis Thermaikou

(Away)
03 Oct
Iraklis Thermaikou
2 : 0
Panedessaikos
27 Sept
Agiou Nikolaou
1 : 1
Iraklis Thermaikou
08 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
0 : 0
Xanthi
05 Apr
Doxa Dramas
0 : 2
Iraklis Thermaikou
01 Apr
Iraklis Thermaikou
2 : 1
Poseidonas Michanionas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poseidonas Michanionas 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Finikas Polichnis 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
3 Iraklis Thermaikou 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
4 Mpam 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
5 Akrites Sykeon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
6 Makedonikos Neapolis 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
7 Agiou Nikolaou 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
8 Panedessaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
9 AE Polykastro 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
10 Kilkisiakos 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
11 PAOK Kristonis 2 0 0 2 2:8 0
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 (Winners stage)
Relegation - Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 (Losers stage)