Sport Picks

Stadium Background

PAOK vs Dynamo Kyiv

Europe Europe

Europa League Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Thu, Jul 30, 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Europa League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: PAOK at 1.88 goals for, 1 against; Dynamo Kyiv at 1.75 for, 1.13 against. Head-to-head, PAOK have won 0 to Dynamo Kyiv's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 3, 1976, ending 0:2. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.38) point toward Dynamo Kyiv. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
PAOK
30%
Draws
34%
Dynamo Kyiv
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • PAOK haven't matched Dynamo Kyiv's recent run of results.
  • PAOK are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Dynamo Kyiv arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Dynamo Kyiv, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
PAOK Clean Sheet 17%
Dynamo Kyiv Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK Dynamo Kyiv
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 21
Draws 8 3
Losses 7 4
Goals Scored 1.88 1.75
Goals Conceded 1 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 1976 Champions League
PAOK vs Dynamo Kyiv
0:2
Oct 20, 1976 Champions League
Dynamo Kyiv vs PAOK
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK 36 / 100
Dynamo Kyiv 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK Dynamo Kyiv

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PAOK scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

PAOK went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Dynamo Kyiv conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

PAOK VS Dynamo Kyiv
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

PAOK

(Home)
11 Jul
PAOK
2 : 3
Twente
07 Jul
PAOK
3 : 2
AEK Larnaca
04 Jul
PAOK
4 : 0
Westerlo
01 Jul
PAOK
4 : 1
SK Beveren
17 May
Panathinaikos
2 : 2
PAOK
Page 1 of 6

Dynamo Kyiv

(Away)
16 Jul
Universitatea Cluj
0 : 1
Dynamo Kyiv
10 Jul
Radomiak Radom
2 : 4
Dynamo Kyiv
09 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
0 : 0
Universitatea Cluj
03 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
2 : 0
LASK Linz
02 Jul
Dynamo Kyiv
1 : 3
Rapid Bucuresti
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Tromso-
TBD-
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Hradec Kralove-
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Midtjylland-
Jagiellonia-
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Rangers-
Dynamo Kyiv1
Universitatea Cluj0
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PAOK-
Hammarby-
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Anderlecht-
Hajduk Split3
Zilina2
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Pafos-
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Salzburg-
St. Gallen-
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Benfica-
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Sheriff Tiraspol1
Aluminij0
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Maccabi Tel Aviv-
Qarabag Agdam6
Vestri0
CSKA Sofia5
Derry City3
Twente-
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Vojvodina1
Ferencvaros5
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Quarter-finals
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Rangers-
Dynamo Kyiv-
PAOK-
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Anderlecht-
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Pafos-
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Salzburg-
St. Gallen-
Benfica-
TBD-
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Maccabi Tel Aviv-
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