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PAOK vs Iraklis FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Super League Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

PAOK host Iraklis FC in the Super League. This one's hard to separate. Iraklis FC have shipped 0.96 goals a game lately, while PAOK have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.83. Head-to-head, PAOK have won 2 to Iraklis FC's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Feb 26, 2017, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.06) point toward Iraklis FC. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
PAOK
35%
Draws
24%
Iraklis FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: PAOK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • PAOK average 1.83 goals a game right now, well clear of Iraklis FC's 1.25.
  • PAOK are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
PAOK Clean Sheet 68%
Iraklis FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK Iraklis FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.83 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2017 Super League
Iraklis FC vs PAOK
1:1
Oct 16, 2016 Super League
PAOK vs Iraklis FC
1:0
Feb 14, 2016 Super League
PAOK vs Iraklis FC
0:1
Oct 18, 2015 Super League
Iraklis FC vs PAOK
3:3
Jan 22, 2014 Greek Cup
PAOK vs Iraklis FC
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK 77 / 100
Iraklis FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK Iraklis FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAOK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PAOK's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Solid form: PAOK remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Iraklis FC has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

PAOK VS Iraklis FC
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

PAOK

(Home)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
02 Sept
PAOK
0 : 0
OFI Crete
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Iraklis FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Aris
0 : 0
Iraklis FC
12 Sept
Iraklis FC
1 : 1
Atromitos
07 Sept
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 2
Iraklis FC
29 Aug
Volos
1 : 1
Iraklis FC
22 Aug
AEK
4 : 0
Iraklis FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panathinaikos 5 5 0 0 12:2 15
2 PAOK 5 4 0 1 12:5 12
3 AEK 5 3 2 0 13:3 11
4 OFI Crete 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
5 Olympiacos Piraeus 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
6 Panetolikos 5 3 0 2 8:7 9
7 Aris 5 2 1 2 5:10 7
8 Iraklis FC 5 1 3 1 4:6 6
9 Kifisia 5 1 2 2 4:7 5
10 Kalamata 5 1 1 3 6:8 4
11 Atromitos 5 0 2 3 4:7 2
12 Asteras Tripolis 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
13 Levadiakos 5 0 1 4 0:9 1
14 Volos 5 0 2 3 4:9 -1
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)