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PAOK vs Twente

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Nijstad R.
Own Goal
37' Event
Orjasaeter S.
45'
Sub
Elustondo A. In: Bataoulas D.
Out: Elustondo A.

AI Match Summary

Twente in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Twente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
PAOK
20%
Draws
45%
Twente
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Twente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Twente lately — more wins on the board than PAOK.
  • Model gives Twente a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
PAOK Clean Sheet 12%
Twente Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric PAOK Twente
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.9 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
PAOK vs Twente
2:3
Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
PAOK vs Twente
0:0
Jul 16, 2016 Club Friendly
Twente vs PAOK
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

PAOK Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeremejeff A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Twente Compare

Top Goalscorer Orjasaeter S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vennegoor of Hesselink L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

PAOK 22 / 100
Twente 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
PAOK Twente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Twente Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: PAOK scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Twente's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: PAOK stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

PAOK VS Twente
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

PAOK

(Home)
20 Sept
Panetolikos
1 : 3
PAOK
16 Sept
Atromitos
0 : 1
PAOK
13 Sept
PAOK
2 : 0
Aris
06 Sept
Panathinaikos
3 : 1
PAOK
02 Sept
PAOK
0 : 0
OFI Crete
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Twente

(Away)
20 Sept
Twente
3 : 2
PSV
12 Sept
Twente
2 : 0
Den Haag
09 Sept
Twente
1 : 0
Telstar
06 Sept
Groningen
2 : 2
Twente
30 Aug
Cambuur
1 : 4
Twente
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