Sport Picks
Papenburg vs Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
Germany
Oberliga Niedersachsen 2022/2023 
Match Events
27'
27'
Holler M.
37'
37'
Stuve D.
87'
87'
Akkermann M.
AI Match Summary
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf in this Oberliga Niedersachsen 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf lately — more wins on the board than Papenburg.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Papenburg Clean Sheet 10%
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Papenburg | Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 21 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.89 | 2.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2023 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Papenburg vs Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
0:2
Oct 16, 2022 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf vs Papenburg
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Papenburg Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf Compare
Top Goalscorer Holler M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Stuve D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Papenburg 34 / 100
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Papenburg Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.
Away concern: Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Papenburg scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Papenburg VS Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
3.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Papenburg
(Home) 03 Jul
Delmenhorst
5 : 1 Papenburg
20 Jun
Papenburg
0 : 5 Meppen
21 May
Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg
6 : 1 Papenburg
14 May
Papenburg
1 : 4 Eintracht Celle
07 May
TuS Bersenbruck
7 : 2 Papenburg
Page 1 of 6
20 Jun
Papenburg
0 : 5 Meppen
14 May
Papenburg
1 : 4 Eintracht Celle
30 Apr
Papenburg
0 : 4 Gifhorn
22 Apr
Papenburg
0 : 2 Egestorf-Langreder
16 Apr
Papenburg
0 : 2 Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
Page 1 of 3
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
(Away) 13 Jan
Eintracht Norderstedt
5 : 0 Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
21 May
Heeslinger SC
5 : 1 Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
14 May
Gifhorn
5 : 1 Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
07 May
Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
3 : 4 FT Braunschweig
30 Apr
Egestorf-Langreder
5 : 0 Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
Page 1 of 6
13 Jan
Eintracht Norderstedt
5 : 0 Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
21 May
Heeslinger SC
5 : 1 Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
14 May
Gifhorn
5 : 1 Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
30 Apr
Egestorf-Langreder
5 : 0 Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
16 Apr
Papenburg
0 : 2 Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spelle-Venhaus | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 80:36 | 77 |
| 2 | Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 69:28 | 74 |
| 3 | Egestorf-Langreder | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 73:40 | 65 |
| 4 | TuS Bersenbruck | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 85:55 | 60 |
| 5 | Schoningen | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 72:54 | 57 |
| 6 | Heeslinger SC | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 59:45 | 57 |
| 7 | VfL Oldenburg | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 73:53 | 56 |
| 8 | Eintracht Celle | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 78:75 | 49 |
| 9 | Rotenburger | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:41 | 45 |
| 10 | Ramlingen-Ehlershausen | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 59:61 | 44 |
| 11 | Arminia Hannover | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 58:65 | 43 |
| 12 | Hannoverscher SC | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50:72 | 41 |
| 13 | Pattensen | 34 | 12 | 2 | 20 | 54:76 | 38 |
| 14 | Gifhorn | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52:71 | 35 |
| 15 | Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 51:75 | 35 |
| 16 | Luneburger Hansa | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 17 | FT Braunschweig | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 41:84 | 26 |
| 18 | Papenburg | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 46:94 | 24 |
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2022/2023 (Relegation)
