Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Papenburg vs Eintracht Celle

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niedersachsen 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
van Eupen J.
50' Event
van Eupen J.
52' Event
Hezo R.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Niedersachsen 2022/2023 game between Papenburg and Eintracht Celle finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Eintracht Celle.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Papenburg
15%
Draws
85%
Eintracht Celle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Eintracht Celle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Eintracht Celle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Eintracht Celle's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Papenburg Clean Sheet 10%
Eintracht Celle Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papenburg Eintracht Celle
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 2 6
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.25 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.89 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2023 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Papenburg vs Eintracht Celle
1:4
Nov 13, 2022 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Eintracht Celle vs Papenburg
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Papenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Fokken M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Eintracht Celle Compare

Top Goalscorer van Eupen J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hezo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papenburg 10 / 100
Eintracht Celle 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papenburg Eintracht Celle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ECE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Eintracht Celle let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Papenburg scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Eintracht Celle's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Papenburg VS Eintracht Celle
0.33 Goals Scored 1
3.33 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 63%
67% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Papenburg

(Home)
03 Jul
Delmenhorst
5 : 1
Papenburg
20 Jun
Papenburg
0 : 5
Meppen
21 May
Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg
6 : 1
Papenburg
14 May
Papenburg
1 : 4
Eintracht Celle
07 May
TuS Bersenbruck
7 : 2
Papenburg
Page 1 of 6

Eintracht Celle

(Away)
18 May
Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg
2 : 1
Eintracht Celle
10 May
Eintracht Celle
1 : 3
Verden
03 May
Meppen II
1 : 1
Eintracht Celle
30 Apr
Eintracht Celle
0 : 2
BSV Rehden
25 Apr
Eintracht Celle
1 : 4
TuS Bersenbruck
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spelle-Venhaus 34 24 5 5 80:36 77
2 Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg 34 22 8 4 69:28 74
3 Egestorf-Langreder 34 20 5 9 73:40 65
4 TuS Bersenbruck 34 18 6 10 85:55 60
5 Schoningen 34 16 9 9 72:54 57
6 Heeslinger SC 34 17 6 11 59:45 57
7 VfL Oldenburg 34 17 5 12 73:53 56
8 Eintracht Celle 34 14 7 13 78:75 49
9 Rotenburger 34 11 12 11 48:41 45
10 Ramlingen-Ehlershausen 34 11 11 12 59:61 44
11 Arminia Hannover 34 12 7 15 58:65 43
12 Hannoverscher SC 34 11 8 15 50:72 41
13 Pattensen 34 12 2 20 54:76 38
14 Gifhorn 34 9 8 17 52:71 35
15 Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf 34 10 5 19 51:75 35
16 Luneburger Hansa 34 9 5 20 37:60 32
17 FT Braunschweig 34 7 5 22 41:84 26
18 Papenburg 34 6 6 22 46:94 24
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2022/2023 (Relegation)