Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Papenburg vs Spelle-Venhaus

Germany Germany

Oberliga Niedersachsen 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Winnemoller T.
16' Event
Issa R.
53' Event
Ruschmeier M.

AI Match Summary

Spelle-Venhaus in this Oberliga Niedersachsen 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spelle-Venhaus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Papenburg
20%
Draws
80%
Spelle-Venhaus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spelle-Venhaus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Papenburg haven't matched Spelle-Venhaus's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Spelle-Venhaus a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Niedersachsen 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Papenburg Clean Sheet 20%
Spelle-Venhaus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papenburg Spelle-Venhaus
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 2 9
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 1.25 2.21
Goals Conceded 2.89 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2023 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Papenburg vs Spelle-Venhaus
1:4
Sep 9, 2022 Oberliga Niedersachsen
Spelle-Venhaus vs Papenburg
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Papenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Issa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Spelle-Venhaus Compare

Top Goalscorer Winnemoller T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruschmeier M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papenburg 10 / 100
Spelle-Venhaus 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papenburg Spelle-Venhaus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spelle-Venhaus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spelle-Venhaus has conceded goals in 93% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 5.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Papenburg scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Difficult form: Spelle-Venhaus registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Papenburg VS Spelle-Venhaus
1 Goals Scored 2.13
5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Papenburg

(Home)
03 Jul
Delmenhorst
5 : 1
Papenburg
20 Jun
Papenburg
0 : 5
Meppen
21 May
Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg
6 : 1
Papenburg
14 May
Papenburg
1 : 4
Eintracht Celle
07 May
TuS Bersenbruck
7 : 2
Papenburg
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Spelle-Venhaus

(Away)
27 Sept
Meppen II
4 : 0
Spelle-Venhaus
20 Sept
Spelle-Venhaus
3 : 1
Braunschweig U23
13 Sept
Heeslinger SC
1 : 1
Spelle-Venhaus
06 Sept
Spelle-Venhaus
2 : 2
Luneburger Hansa
28 Aug
SV Wilhelmshaven
0 : 1
Spelle-Venhaus
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spelle-Venhaus 34 24 5 5 80:36 77
2 Lupo-Martini Wolfsburg 34 22 8 4 69:28 74
3 Egestorf-Langreder 34 20 5 9 73:40 65
4 TuS Bersenbruck 34 18 6 10 85:55 60
5 Schoningen 34 16 9 9 72:54 57
6 Heeslinger SC 34 17 6 11 59:45 57
7 VfL Oldenburg 34 17 5 12 73:53 56
8 Eintracht Celle 34 14 7 13 78:75 49
9 Rotenburger 34 11 12 11 48:41 45
10 Ramlingen-Ehlershausen 34 11 11 12 59:61 44
11 Arminia Hannover 34 12 7 15 58:65 43
12 Hannoverscher SC 34 11 8 15 50:72 41
13 Pattensen 34 12 2 20 54:76 38
14 Gifhorn 34 9 8 17 52:71 35
15 Ahlerstedt/Ottendorf 34 10 5 19 51:75 35
16 Luneburger Hansa 34 9 5 20 37:60 32
17 FT Braunschweig 34 7 5 22 41:84 26
18 Papenburg 34 6 6 22 46:94 24
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga North 2022/2023 (Relegation)