Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Caledonia U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Wahaga Y.
Penalty Missed
45' Event
Qaeze S.
83' Event
Sagana T.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U19 2024 game between Papua New Guinea U19 and New Caledonia U19 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Caledonia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Papua New Guinea U19
44%
Draws
20%
New Caledonia U19
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Caledonia U19 come out ahead of Papua New Guinea U19 on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Papua New Guinea U19 Clean Sheet 10%
New Caledonia U19 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea U19 New Caledonia U19
Matches Played 18 20
Wins 5 12
Draws 1 1
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.88 2
Goals Conceded 3.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 8, 2024 OFC Championship U19
Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Caledonia U19
1:2
May 29, 2014 OFC Championship U19
Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Caledonia U19
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Papua New Guinea U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagana T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

New Caledonia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Qaeze S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simane A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea U19 34 / 100
New Caledonia U19 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea U19 New Caledonia U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Caledonia U19 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Papua New Guinea U19 scored in 61% of their last 18 games.

Papua New Guinea U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea U19 VS New Caledonia U19
0.88 Goals Scored 2
3.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Solomon Islands U1933005:09
2Fiji U1932019:56
3Tahiti U1931022:43
4Vanuatu U1930031:80
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U19330018:09
2New Caledonia U1932014:56
3Samoa U1931024:83
4Papua New Guinea U1930032:150