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Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Caledonia U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Qaeze S.
18' Event
Diko G.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Toto K.

AI Match Summary

New Caledonia U19 in this OFC Championship U19 matchup, with the score ending 0-7 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Caledonia U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Papua New Guinea U19
15%
Draws
34%
New Caledonia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Papua New Guinea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New Caledonia U19 lately — more wins on the board than Papua New Guinea U19.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U19 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • History favors New Caledonia U19 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Papua New Guinea U19 Clean Sheet 10%
New Caledonia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea U19 New Caledonia U19
Matches Played 22 25
Wins 7 14
Draws 1 1
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.55 2.52
Goals Conceded 2.86 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 OFC Championship U19
Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Caledonia U19
0:7
Jul 8, 2024 OFC Championship U19
Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Caledonia U19
1:2
May 29, 2014 OFC Championship U19
Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Caledonia U19
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Papua New Guinea U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

New Caledonia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Siwoine J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Qaeze S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea U19 30 / 100
New Caledonia U19 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea U19 New Caledonia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: New Caledonia U19 conceded in 80% of 25 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.33 goals per match.

Papua New Guinea U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: New Caledonia U19 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea U19 VS New Caledonia U19
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Papua New Guinea U19

(Home)
11 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 0
Fiji U19
06 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 7
New Caledonia U19
04 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
31 Aug
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 0
Papua New Guinea U19
13 Jun
Papua New Guinea U19
5 : 1
Cook Islands U19
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New Caledonia U19

(Away)
13 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 0
New Caledonia U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
6 : 1
New Caledonia U19
06 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 7
New Caledonia U19
03 Sept
New Caledonia U19
1 : 3
Solomon Islands U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands U19 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 New Caledonia U19 3 2 0 1 12:5 6
3 Papua New Guinea U19 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Samoa U19 3 0 0 3 4:10 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U19 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Tahiti U19 3 1 1 1 3:10 4
3 Fiji U19 3 1 0 2 8:6 3
4 Vanuatu U19 3 0 1 2 3:14 1
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (5th-8th places)