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Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Zealand U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sloane-Rodrigues G.
11' Event
Makowem D.
16' Event
Makowem D.

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-10 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Zealand U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Papua New Guinea U19
6%
Draws
90%
New Zealand U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U19 have won more games recently than Papua New Guinea U19.
  • Win probability leans New Zealand U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and New Zealand U19 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Papua New Guinea U19 Clean Sheet 10%
New Zealand U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea U19 New Zealand U19
Matches Played 18 16
Wins 5 16
Draws 1 0
Losses 12 0
Goals Scored 0.88 4.63
Goals Conceded 3.63 0
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 4.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2024 OFC Championship U19
Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Zealand U19
0:10
Sep 19, 2022 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Papua New Guinea U19
5:0
Aug 11, 2018 OFC Championship U19
Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Zealand U19
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Papua New Guinea U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

New Zealand U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sloane-Rodrigues G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 4.21
Avg xA / game 2.57

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea U19 10 / 100
New Zealand U19 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea U19 New Zealand U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.33 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Papua New Guinea U19 scored in 61% of their last 18 outings.

New Zealand U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 13% of 16 matches.

Recent resilience: Papua New Guinea U19 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea U19 VS New Zealand U19
0.88 Goals Scored 4.63
3.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Solomon Islands U1933005:09
2Fiji U1932019:56
3Tahiti U1931022:43
4Vanuatu U1930031:80
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U19330018:09
2New Caledonia U1932014:56
3Samoa U1931024:83
4Papua New Guinea U1930032:150