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Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Zealand U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Sloane-Rodrigues G.
11' Event
Makowem D.
16' Event
Makowem D.

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-10 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Zealand U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Papua New Guinea U19
15%
Draws
53%
New Zealand U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Zealand U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • New Zealand U19 have won more games recently than Papua New Guinea U19.
  • Win probability leans New Zealand U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and New Zealand U19 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Papua New Guinea U19 Clean Sheet 10%
New Zealand U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea U19 New Zealand U19
Matches Played 22 21
Wins 7 21
Draws 1 0
Losses 14 0
Goals Scored 1.55 4.9
Goals Conceded 2.86 0.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2024 OFC Championship U19
Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Zealand U19
0:10
Sep 19, 2022 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Papua New Guinea U19
5:0
Aug 11, 2018 OFC Championship U19
Papua New Guinea U19 vs New Zealand U19
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Papua New Guinea U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

New Zealand U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sloane-Rodrigues G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea U19 10 / 100
New Zealand U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea U19 New Zealand U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Zealand U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.33 goals as a typical output.

Papua New Guinea U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Papua New Guinea U19's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 22 recent games.

New Zealand U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 14% of 21 matches.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea U19 VS New Zealand U19
2.13 Goals Scored 4.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Papua New Guinea U19

(Home)
11 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 0
Fiji U19
06 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 7
New Caledonia U19
04 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
31 Aug
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 0
Papua New Guinea U19
13 Jun
Papua New Guinea U19
5 : 1
Cook Islands U19
Page 1 of 5

New Zealand U19

(Away)
14 Sept
Tahiti U19
0 : 2
New Zealand U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
6 : 1
New Caledonia U19
08 Sept
Vanuatu U19
0 : 6
New Zealand U19
05 Sept
New Zealand U19
2 : 0
Fiji U19
02 Sept
New Zealand U19
8 : 0
Tahiti U19
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands U19 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 Fiji U19 3 2 0 1 9:5 6
3 Tahiti U19 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
4 Vanuatu U19 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2024 (5th-8th places)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2024 (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U19 3 3 0 0 18:0 9
2 New Caledonia U19 3 2 0 1 4:5 6
3 Samoa U19 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Papua New Guinea U19 3 0 0 3 2:15 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2024 (5th-8th places)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2024 (5th-8th places)