Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Papua New Guinea U20 vs Vanuatu U20

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U20 2011 Centre Park, Auckland
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Vanuatu U20 in this OFC Championship U20 2011 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vanuatu U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Papua New Guinea U20
22%
Draws
18%
Vanuatu U20
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Papua New Guinea U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Vanuatu U20 have won more games recently than Papua New Guinea U20.
  • Win probability leans Papua New Guinea U20's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vanuatu U20 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Papua New Guinea U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Vanuatu U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea U20 Vanuatu U20
Matches Played 12 17
Wins 1 10
Draws 3 0
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 3.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2016 OFC Championship U19
Vanuatu U20 vs Papua New Guinea U20
3:1
Mar 25, 2013 OFC Championship U19
Vanuatu U20 vs Papua New Guinea U20
6:1
Apr 25, 2011 OFC Championship U19
Papua New Guinea U20 vs Vanuatu U20
2:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea U20 56 / 100
Vanuatu U20 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea U20 Vanuatu U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Papua New Guinea U20 scored in 67% of their last 12 games.

Vanuatu U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 17 matches.

Difficult form: Vanuatu U20 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea U20 VS Vanuatu U20
1 Goals Scored 2.38
3.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Papua New Guinea U20

(Home)
15 Nov
Papua New Guinea U20
0 : 1
Fiji
11 Nov
Papua New Guinea U20
1 : 1
Vanuatu
10 Sept
Fiji U20
1 : 1
Papua New Guinea U20
06 Sept
Vanuatu U20
3 : 1
Papua New Guinea U20
03 Sept
Papua New Guinea U20
1 : 4
New Caledonia U20
Page 1 of 3

Vanuatu U20

(Away)
26 May
Germany U20
3 : 2
Vanuatu U20
23 May
Venezuela U20
7 : 0
Vanuatu U20
20 May
Vanuatu U20
2 : 3
Mexico U20
17 Sept
New Zealand U20
5 : 0
Vanuatu U20
13 Sept
Vanuatu U20
2 : 1
Solomon Islands U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vanuatu U20330014:29
2Fiji U2031115:34
3Papua New Guinea U2031117:64
4American Samoa U2030032:170
Promotion - OFC Championship U20 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U20 2011 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U20220013:06
2Solomon Islands U2021013:43
3New Caledonia U2020021:130
Promotion - OFC Championship U20 2011 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U20 2011 (Play Offs)