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Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International HFC Bank Stadium, Suva
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Match Events

3' Event
Lea'i R.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Kepo A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Papua New Guinea
35%
Draws
39%
Solomon Islands
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Solomon Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

26% / Low Confidence
  • Solomon Islands have won more games recently than Papua New Guinea.
  • Papua New Guinea are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Papua New Guinea Clean Sheet 20%
Solomon Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Friendly International
Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands
1:1
Nov 13, 2025 Friendly International
Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands
1:0
Dec 18, 2024 Friendly International
Solomon Islands vs Papua New Guinea
2:3
Nov 17, 2024 World Championship
Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands
1:2
Oct 8, 2023 Friendly International
Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Papua New Guinea Compare

Top Goalscorer Kepo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Solomon Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea 85 / 100
Solomon Islands 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea Solomon Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Papua New Guinea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Papua New Guinea scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Solomon Islands conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Papua New Guinea remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea VS Solomon Islands
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Papua New Guinea

(Home)
30 Sept
Papua New Guinea
1 : 1
Solomon Islands
27 Sept
Fiji
2 : 0
Papua New Guinea
24 Sept
Papua New Guinea
1 : 2
New Caledonia
18 Sept
Papua New Guinea
2 : 1
Vanuatu
23 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 3
Vanuatu
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Solomon Islands

(Away)
30 Sept
Papua New Guinea
1 : 1
Solomon Islands
24 Sept
Solomon Islands
3 : 3
Vanuatu
21 Sept
New Caledonia
0 : 2
Solomon Islands
18 Sept
Fiji
3 : 3
Solomon Islands
30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2
Solomon Islands
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