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Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 PNG Football Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

57' Event
Kaipu M.
60' Event
Nasau C.
73' Event
Nasau C.

AI Match Summary

Fiji W in this Friendly International Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fiji W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Papua New Guinea W
6%
Draws
4%
Fiji W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Papua New Guinea W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Papua New Guinea W lately — more wins on the board than Fiji W.
  • Papua New Guinea W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Papua New Guinea W Clean Sheet 20%
Fiji W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Papua New Guinea W Fiji W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 16
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 3 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 World Cup Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W
3:0
Jul 16, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W
2:1
Jun 2, 2025 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W
1:3
May 30, 2025 Friendly International Women
Papua New Guinea W vs Fiji W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Papua New Guinea W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaipu M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Fiji W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasau C.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Papua New Guinea W 85 / 100
Fiji W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Papua New Guinea W Fiji W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Papua New Guinea W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Fiji W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Papua New Guinea W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Papua New Guinea W VS Fiji W
3 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%