Sport Picks
Para vs Adelaide City
Australia
NPL South Australia Cass & Co Stadium (Paddocks), Adelaide 
Match Events
35'
35'
Kasumovic A.
62'
62'
Kitano Y.
71'
71'
Ulaj M.
AI Match Summary
Adelaide City in this NPL South Australia matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Adelaide City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Adelaide City lately — more wins on the board than Para.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Adelaide City taking it.
- Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Adelaide City have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Para Clean Sheet 10%
Adelaide City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Para | Adelaide City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 2 | 19 |
| Draws | 3 | 7 |
| Losses | 25 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.23 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.44 | 3.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 4, 2026 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs Para
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 NPL South Australia
Para vs Adelaide City
1:3
Jul 26, 2025 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs Para
5:1
May 3, 2025 NPL South Australia
Para vs Adelaide City
1:2
Jun 1, 2024 NPL South Australia
Adelaide City vs Para
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Para Compare
Top Goalscorer Ulaj M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22
Adelaide City Compare
Top Goalscorer Kitano Y.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kasumovic A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.35
Avg xA / game 2.05
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Para 10 / 100
Adelaide City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Para Adelaide City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Adelaide City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Para found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Adelaide City let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Para VS Adelaide City
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
5.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Para
(Home) 15 Aug
Para
2 : 5 Adelaide Comets
08 Aug
Adelaide Utd U23
5 : 2 Para
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1 Para
25 Jul
Para
2 : 4 Playford Patriots
17 Jul
West Torrens Birkalla
11 : 0 Para
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
Para
2 : 5 Adelaide Comets
25 Jul
Para
2 : 4 Playford Patriots
27 Jun
Para
0 : 9 MetroStars
13 Jun
Para
1 : 5 FK Beograd
30 May
Para
1 : 5 Croydon
Page 1 of 3
Adelaide City
(Away) 15 Aug
FK Beograd
0 : 3 Adelaide City
07 Aug
Adelaide City
1 : 0 Playford Patriots
31 Jul
Campbelltown City
0 : 4 Adelaide City
25 Jul
Adelaide City
1 : 0 West Torrens Birkalla
18 Jul
Adelaide City
2 : 2 Croydon
Page 1 of 6
15 Aug
FK Beograd
0 : 3 Adelaide City
31 Jul
Campbelltown City
0 : 4 Adelaide City
26 Jun
Adelaide Comets
0 : 1 Adelaide City
13 Jun
Adelaide Utd U23
0 : 0 Adelaide City
31 May
West Adelaide
1 : 2 Adelaide City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide City | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 44:16 | 48 |
| 2 | West Torrens Birkalla | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 54:29 | 45 |
| 3 | MetroStars | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 53:23 | 44 |
| 4 | Playford Patriots | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 42:31 | 35 |
| 5 | FK Beograd | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 35:30 | 33 |
| 6 | Croydon | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 46:41 | 30 |
| 7 | Adelaide Utd U23 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 33:32 | 29 |
| 8 | Campbelltown City | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 35:36 | 29 |
| 9 | Sturt Lions FC | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 35:36 | 27 |
| 10 | West Adelaide | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 40:44 | 25 |
| 11 | Adelaide Comets | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 25:38 | 20 |
| 12 | Para | 22 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16:102 | 2 |
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)
