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Para vs Adelaide University SC

Australia Australia

SA State League 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The SA State League 2022 game between Para and Adelaide University SC finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Para.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Para
6%
Draws
90%
Adelaide University SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Adelaide University SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Para carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Adelaide University SC a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular SA State League 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Para Clean Sheet 10%
Adelaide University SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Para Adelaide University SC
Matches Played 36 23
Wins 8 3
Draws 5 5
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 3.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2022 SA State League
Adelaide University SC vs Para
0:2
Apr 30, 2022 SA State League
Para vs Adelaide University SC
4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Para 10 / 100
Adelaide University SC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Para Adelaide University SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ADE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Adelaide University SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 23 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Para found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (36 games).

Away concern: Adelaide University SC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Para VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
3.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Modbury Jets22153475:3048
2West Adelaide22119247:2842
3Blue Eagles22124648:2940
4Para22124635:2840
5Adelaide Croatia Raiders22114745:3437
6Fulham United2296730:2833
7Playford Patriots22931031:4330
8Port Adelaide Lion22911231:5128
9Eastern United22741129:3825
10Adelaide Atletico2259821:2324
11Adelaide University SC22341521:5013
12Adelaide Hills Hawks22231720:519