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Para vs Campbelltown City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Cass & Co Stadium (Paddocks), Adelaide
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Match Events

16' Event
Ialeggio J.
40' Event
Ialeggio J.
44' Event
Mori J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between Para and Campbelltown City finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campbelltown City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Para
15%
Draws
85%
Campbelltown City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Campbelltown City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Para haven't matched Campbelltown City's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Campbelltown City taking it.
  • Regular NPL South Australia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Campbelltown City have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Para Clean Sheet 10%
Campbelltown City Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Para Campbelltown City
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 1 1.7
Goals Conceded 4.23 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Para
3:0
Apr 18, 2026 NPL South Australia
Para vs Campbelltown City
0:5
Jul 19, 2025 NPL South Australia
Para vs Campbelltown City
1:5
Apr 26, 2025 NPL South Australia
Campbelltown City vs Para
2:5
Aug 3, 2024 NPL South Australia
Para vs Campbelltown City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Para Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Campbelltown City Compare

Top Goalscorer Ialeggio J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mori J.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Para 10 / 100
Campbelltown City 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Para Campbelltown City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campbelltown City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Para found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Campbelltown City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Campbelltown City lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Para VS Campbelltown City
0.5 Goals Scored 1
5.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Para

(Home)
15 Aug
Para
2 : 5
Adelaide Comets
08 Aug
Adelaide Utd U23
5 : 2
Para
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1
Para
25 Jul
Para
2 : 4
Playford Patriots
17 Jul
West Torrens Birkalla
11 : 0
Para
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Campbelltown City

(Away)
15 Aug
Sturt Lions FC
1 : 3
Campbelltown City
07 Aug
Campbelltown City
2 : 0
FK Beograd
31 Jul
Campbelltown City
0 : 4
Adelaide City
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2
Campbelltown City
17 Jul
Campbelltown City
1 : 0
Adelaide Comets
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)