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Para vs Croydon

Australia Australia

NPL South Australia Cass & Co Stadium (Paddocks), Adelaide
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Kato Y.
45' Event
Trimboli L.
69' Event
Slattery O.

AI Match Summary

The NPL South Australia game between Para and Croydon finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Croydon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Para
20%
Draws
80%
Croydon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Croydon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Croydon come out ahead of Para on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Croydon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).
  • Croydon have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Para Clean Sheet 10%
Croydon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Para Croydon
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 2 14
Draws 3 7
Losses 25 10
Goals Scored 1 1.94
Goals Conceded 4.23 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 NPL South Australia
Para vs Croydon
1:5
Feb 27, 2026 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs Para
3:2
Jun 28, 2025 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs Para
4:1
Apr 5, 2025 NPL South Australia
Para vs Croydon
0:2
Jun 22, 2024 NPL South Australia
Croydon vs Para
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Para Compare

Top Goalscorer Mayol C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Croydon Compare

Top Goalscorer Kato Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trimboli L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Para 10 / 100
Croydon 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Para Croydon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croydon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Croydon has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Para scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Croydon's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Para VS Croydon
0.5 Goals Scored 3
5.25 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Para

(Home)
15 Aug
Para
2 : 5
Adelaide Comets
08 Aug
Adelaide Utd U23
5 : 2
Para
01 Aug
West Adelaide
2 : 1
Para
25 Jul
Para
2 : 4
Playford Patriots
17 Jul
West Torrens Birkalla
11 : 0
Para
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Croydon

(Away)
22 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0
Croydon
15 Aug
MetroStars
2 : 0
Croydon
08 Aug
Croydon
1 : 1
Sturt Lions FC
01 Aug
FK Beograd
4 : 3
Croydon
25 Jul
Croydon
2 : 2
Campbelltown City
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide City 22 14 6 2 44:16 48
2 West Torrens Birkalla 22 14 3 5 54:29 45
3 MetroStars 22 13 5 4 53:23 44
4 Playford Patriots 22 10 5 7 42:31 35
5 FK Beograd 22 10 3 9 35:30 33
6 Croydon 22 8 6 8 46:41 30
7 Adelaide Utd U23 22 7 8 7 33:32 29
8 Campbelltown City 22 8 5 9 35:36 29
9 Sturt Lions FC 22 8 3 11 35:36 27
10 West Adelaide 22 6 7 9 40:44 25
11 Adelaide Comets 22 5 5 12 25:38 20
12 Para 22 0 2 20 16:102 2
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL South Australia (Play Offs)
Relegation - SA State League 2027 (Main)