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Paracatu vs Pirapora

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Paracatu and Pirapora finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paracatu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Paracatu
20%
Draws
22%
Pirapora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paracatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paracatu come out ahead of Pirapora on wins alone.
  • Paracatu are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro 3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Paracatu Clean Sheet 20%
Pirapora Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paracatu Pirapora
Matches Played 31 8
Wins 13 1
Draws 11 0
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.58 0.38
Goals Conceded 0.94 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2023 Mineiro 3
Pirapora vs Paracatu
1:6
Sep 2, 2023 Mineiro 3
Paracatu vs Pirapora
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paracatu 85 / 100
Pirapora 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paracatu Pirapora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paracatu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pirapora let in goals in 88% of their last 8 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Paracatu's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Paracatu remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paracatu VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Paracatu

(Home)
19 Sept
Paracatu
5 : 0
Siderurgica
22 Nov
Paracatu
0 : 0
Novo Esporte
15 Nov
Tupi-MG
1 : 2
Paracatu
08 Nov
Coimbra Esporte Clube
2 : 1
Paracatu
01 Nov
Paracatu
1 : 1
Boa
Page 1 of 7

Pirapora

(Away)
21 Oct
Mamore
4 : 0
Pirapora
14 Oct
Pirapora
1 : 6
Paracatu
08 Oct
Araxa
1 : 0
Pirapora
01 Oct
Pirapora
2 : 0
Nacional Uberaba
16 Sept
Nacional Uberaba
1 : 0
Pirapora
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America TO 6 5 1 0 8:2 16
2 Valeriodoce 6 4 0 2 6:4 12
3 Juventus Minasnovense 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
4 Boston City 6 0 0 6 4:12 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarani-MG 6 5 0 1 10:2 15
2 Pocos de Caldas 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
3 Villa Real 5 1 1 3 1:4 4
4 Tres Coracoes 5 1 0 4 2:7 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Contagem 6 4 1 1 5:2 13
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 6 3 2 1 13:3 11
3 Inter de Minas 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
4 Serranense 6 0 0 6 4:19 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mamore 8 6 2 0 16:4 20
2 Araxa 8 4 2 2 11:6 14
3 Paracatu 7 3 1 3 9:8 10
4 Nacional Uberaba 7 1 3 3 4:9 6
5 Pirapora 8 1 0 7 3:16 3
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2023 (Play Offs)