Sport Picks

Algeria

Ligue 1 20 August 1955 Stadium

Paradou

3 - 5

ES Ben Aknoun

Our Tip

Match Events

Ouattara A.

11'

Kermiche F.

22'

Zaoui S. E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

ES Ben Aknoun in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored ES Ben Aknoun.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Paradou

44%

Draws

20%

ES Ben Aknoun

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

ES Ben Aknoun have won more games recently than Paradou.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Paradou Clean Sheet 12%

ES Ben Aknoun Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paradou	ES Ben Aknoun
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	9	13
Draws	2	9
Losses	19	9
Goals Scored	1.25	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Ligue 1

Paradou vs ES Ben Aknoun

Possession: 50% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

3:5

Sep 12, 2025 Ligue 1

ES Ben Aknoun vs Paradou

Possession: 48% - 48% Cards: 0 - 4

1:0

Mar 25, 2024 Ligue 1

Paradou vs ES Ben Aknoun

Possession: 51% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Nov 18, 2023 Ligue 1

ES Ben Aknoun vs Paradou

Possession: 55% - 43% Cards: 1 - 4

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paradou Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdelkader M.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Kermiche F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

ES Ben Aknoun Compare

Top Goalscorer Bouamama B.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Saad A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paradou 35 / 100

ES Ben Aknoun 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paradou ES Ben Aknoun

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BEN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paradou scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

ES Ben Aknoun let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Paradou has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paradou VS ES Ben Aknoun

1.25 Goals Scored 1.63

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	MC Alger	30	20	5	5	41:18	65
2	Saoura	30	16	7	7	40:26	55
3	CR Belouizdad	30	14	11	5	47:24	53
4	Oran	30	14	7	9	36:31	49
5	Kabylie	30	11	12	7	40:31	45
6	Olympique Akbou	30	12	9	9	34:31	45
7	Khenchela	30	12	8	10	37:37	44
8	ES Ben Aknoun	30	11	10	9	41:39	43
9	Constantine	30	11	10	9	35:30	43
10	USM Alger	30	8	15	7	34:29	39
11	ES Setif	30	10	9	11	33:36	39
12	Rouisset	30	9	9	12	30:35	36
13	ASO Chlef	30	9	7	14	26:31	34
14	Paradou	30	7	3	20	35:54	24
15	Mostaganem	30	4	7	19	18:52	19
16	El Bayadh	30	2	11	17	17:40	17