Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paradou vs ES Setif

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 20 August 1955 Stadium, Algiers
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Benlebna M.
5'
Benlebna M.
15'
Lahmer S.

AI Match Summary

ES Setif in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored ES Setif.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Paradou
15%
Draws
59%
ES Setif
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ES Setif

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ES Setif lately — more wins on the board than Paradou.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Paradou taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Paradou Clean Sheet 16%
ES Setif Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paradou ES Setif
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.43 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Ligue 1
Paradou vs ES Setif
0:2
Jan 8, 2026 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Paradou
2:2
Apr 24, 2025 Ligue 1
Paradou vs ES Setif
0:0
Dec 17, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Paradou
1:2
Jun 11, 2024 Ligue 1
ES Setif vs Paradou
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paradou Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

ES Setif Compare

Top Goalscorer Benlebna M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paradou 36 / 100
ES Setif 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paradou ES Setif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paradou's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

ES Setif has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Paradou stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paradou VS ES Setif
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paradou

(Home)
18 Sept
Khroub
0 : 0
Paradou
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
22 May
USM Alger
4 : 2
Paradou
19 May
Rouisset
2 : 1
Paradou
07 May
Paradou
5 : 3
Constantine
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ES Setif

(Away)
11 Sept
CR Belouizdad
1 : 0
ES Setif
03 Sept
ES Setif
0 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
20 Aug
ES Setif
2 : 1
Magra
05 Jun
Paradou
0 : 2
ES Setif
20 May
ES Setif
1 : 0
MC Alger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)