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Paragominas vs Amazonia IFC Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2 2025
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Paragominas
35%
Draws
19%
Amazonia IFC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Paragominas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Paragominas's 1.47 goals per match outpaces what Amazonia IFC have produced (1.25).
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Paragominas taking it.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Paragominas, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Paragominas Clean Sheet 20%
Amazonia IFC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paragominas Amazonia IFC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 12 9
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.47 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Paraense A2
Amazonia IFC vs Paragominas
0:0
Jul 5, 2025 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Amazonia IFC
1:1
Nov 20, 2024 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Amazonia IFC
4:0
Nov 17, 2024 Paraense A2
Amazonia IFC vs Paragominas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paragominas 76 / 100
Amazonia IFC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paragominas Amazonia IFC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paragominas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paragominas's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Amazonia IFC conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Paragominas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paragominas VS Amazonia IFC
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paragominas

(Home)
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
17 May
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
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Amazonia IFC

(Away)
15 Feb
Remo
1 : 1
Amazonia IFC
12 Feb
Amazonia IFC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
09 Feb
Amazonia IFC
0 : 3
Capitao Poco
04 Feb
Cameta
3 : 1
Amazonia IFC
01 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
2 : 2
Amazonia IFC
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Marajo 0
Canaa 5
Itupiranga 2
Sao Raimundo PA 4
Paragominas 1
Amazonia IFC 1
Uniao Paraense 0
Urumajo 1
Semi-finals
Canaa 1
Sao Raimundo PA 2
Amazonia IFC 5
Urumajo 3
Final
Sao Raimundo PA 2
Amazonia IFC 1