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Paragominas vs Caete - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense A2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Paragominas
20%
Draws
29%
Caete
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Paragominas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paragominas lately — more wins on the board than Caete.
  • Paragominas are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Paragominas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Paragominas, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Paragominas have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Paragominas Clean Sheet 20%
Caete Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paragominas Caete
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 5
Draws 12 6
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.47 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Paraense A2
Caete vs Paragominas
0:2
May 30, 2026 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Caete
2:0
Feb 17, 2022 Paraense
Caete vs Paragominas
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paragominas 67 / 100
Caete 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paragominas Caete

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paragominas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caete let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Paragominas's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Paragominas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Caete lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paragominas VS Caete
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paragominas

(Home)
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
17 May
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
Page 1 of 6

Caete

(Away)
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
19 May
Santos PA
3 : 1
Caete
16 May
Caete
0 : 0
Canaa
02 May
Caete
3 : 0
Santos PA
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Urumajo 4
Santos PA 0
Caete 0
Paragominas 4
Independente 0
Itupiranga 1
Carajas 1
Izabelense 3
Semi-finals
Urumajo 3
Paragominas 2
Itupiranga 1
Izabelense 2
Final
Urumajo 2
Izabelense 1