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Paragominas vs Capitao Poco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraense B1 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Capitao Poco in this Paraense B1 2024 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Paragominas
15%
Draws
54%
Capitao Poco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Capitao Poco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Capitao Poco have won more games recently than Paragominas.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Capitao Poco arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Capitao Poco, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Paragominas Clean Sheet 20%
Capitao Poco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paragominas Capitao Poco
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 12 8
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2024 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Capitao Poco
0:3
Nov 24, 2024 Paraense A2
Capitao Poco vs Paragominas
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Paraense A2
Capitao Poco vs Paragominas
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Paraense A2
Paragominas vs Capitao Poco
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paragominas 32 / 100
Capitao Poco 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paragominas Capitao Poco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Paragominas scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Capitao Poco conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Paragominas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paragominas VS Capitao Poco
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paragominas

(Home)
13 Jun
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
07 Jun
Paragominas
2 : 2
Urumajo
03 Jun
Caete
0 : 2
Paragominas
30 May
Paragominas
2 : 0
Caete
17 May
Urumajo
1 : 0
Paragominas
Page 1 of 6

Capitao Poco

(Away)
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1
Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Cameta
1 : 2
Capitao Poco
22 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 1
Tuna Luso
19 Feb
Capitao Poco
0 : 1
Castanhal
15 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 0
Castanhal
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Capitao Poco 2
Izabelense 0
Amazonia IFC 0
Paragominas 5
Carajas 2
Sao Raimundo PA 1
ESMAC 1
Independente 3
Semi-finals
Capitao Poco 3
Paragominas 0
Carajas 1
Independente 2
Final
Capitao Poco 1
Independente 2