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Paraguay U19 W vs Brazil U19 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paraguay U19 W play Brazil U19 W in the Friendly International Women 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paraguay U19 W averaged 2.45 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Brazil U19 W averaged 4.89 goals scored and 0.33 conceded. In past meetings, Paraguay U19 W won 0, Brazil U19 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 24, 2023 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Paraguay U19 W and 2.94 for Brazil U19 W. This points to a Brazil U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Paraguay U19 W
15%
Draws
47%
Brazil U19 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Paraguay U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Brazil U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
Paraguay U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
Brazil U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U19 W Brazil U19 W
Matches Played 11 9
Wins 7 9
Draws 3 0
Losses 1 0
Goals Scored 2.45 4.89
Goals Conceded 0.91 0.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 5.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2023 Friendly International Women
Paraguay U19 W vs Brazil U19 W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Brazil U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aline Gomes
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 4.77
Avg xA / game 2.92

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U19 W 36 / 100
Brazil U19 W 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U19 W Brazil U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Brazil U19 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paraguay U19 W attacking → ← attacking Brazil U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay U19 W scored in 82% of their last 11 games.

Brazil U19 W let in goals in 22% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Paraguay U19 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Brazil U19 W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 27
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 5.25
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38