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Paraguay U20 vs Brazil U20

South America South America

South American Championship U20 Estadio Olimpico de la UCV, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Duarte M. In: Paoli G.
Out: Duarte M.
15' Event
Gustavo Prado
17' Event
Rayan
Assist: Wesley

AI Match Summary

The South American Championship U20 game between Paraguay U20 and Brazil U20 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brazil U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Paraguay U20
15%
Draws
61%
Brazil U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brazil U20 come out ahead of Paraguay U20 on wins alone.
  • Brazil U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Brazil U20 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Paraguay U20 Clean Sheet 11%
Brazil U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U20 Brazil U20
Matches Played 28 25
Wins 11 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Brazil U20 vs Paraguay U20
3:1
Mar 28, 2026 Friendly International
Brazil U20 vs Paraguay U20
3:1
Aug 11, 2025 Friendly International
Paraguay U20 vs Brazil U20
1:2
Aug 8, 2025 Friendly International
Paraguay U20 vs Brazil U20
0:2
Feb 10, 2025 South American Championship U20
Paraguay U20 vs Brazil U20
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguayo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Brazil U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gustavo Prado
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rayan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U20 10 / 100
Brazil U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U20 Brazil U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brazil U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Paraguay U20 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Brazil U20 has conceded goals in 64% of their last 25 outings.

Solid form: Paraguay U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay U20 VS Brazil U20
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraguay U20

(Home)
27 Aug
Uruguay U20
2 : 3
Paraguay U20
25 Aug
Uruguay U20
0 : 2
Paraguay U20
31 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
28 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
08 Oct
Paraguay U20
0 : 1
Norway U20
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Brazil U20

(Away)
12 Aug
Brazil U20
2 : 0
Bolivia U20
09 Aug
Brazil U20
2 : 0
Bolivia U20
06 Jun
Chile U20
0 : 1
Brazil U20
31 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
28 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U20 5 4 1 0 9:2 13
2 Argentina U20 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
3 Colombia U20 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
4 Paraguay U20 5 3 0 2 7:10 9
5 Uruguay U20 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
6 Chile U20 5 0 1 4 4:11 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Main)