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Stadium Background

Paraguay U20 vs Chile U20

South America South America

South American Championship U20 Estadio Brigido Iriarte, Caracas
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Alfonso O.
Assist: Aguayo G.
60'
Sub
Chatiliez W. In: Hernandez L.
Out: Chatiliez W.
60'
Sub
Vasquez Gonzalez I. A. In: Arce A.
Out: Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.

AI Match Summary

Paraguay U20 in this South American Championship U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paraguay U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Paraguay U20
15%
Draws
34%
Chile U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paraguay U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paraguay U20 lately — more wins on the board than Chile U20.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Paraguay U20 taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Paraguay U20 Clean Sheet 17%
Chile U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U20 Chile U20
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2025 South American Championship U20
Paraguay U20 vs Chile U20
2:1
Jan 31, 2025 South American Championship U20
Paraguay U20 vs Chile U20
2:1
Jun 21, 2024 Friendly International
Chile U20 vs Paraguay U20
0:0
Dec 10, 2021 Friendly International
Chile U20 vs Paraguay U20
1:0
Jan 24, 2017 South American Championship U20
Paraguay U20 vs Chile U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfonso O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kmet L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chile U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Arce A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U20 48 / 100
Chile U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U20 Chile U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paraguay U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chile U20 has conceded goals in 96% of their last 26 outings.

Paraguay U20 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Chile U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay U20 VS Chile U20
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraguay U20

(Home)
27 Aug
Uruguay U20
2 : 3
Paraguay U20
25 Aug
Uruguay U20
0 : 2
Paraguay U20
31 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
28 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
08 Oct
Paraguay U20
0 : 1
Norway U20
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Chile U20

(Away)
06 Jun
Chile U20
0 : 1
Brazil U20
31 Mar
Chile U20
1 : 1
Peru U20
29 Mar
Chile U20
2 : 1
Peru U20
07 Oct
Chile U20
1 : 4
Mexico U20
03 Oct
Egypt U20
2 : 1
Chile U20
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brazil U20 5 4 1 0 9:2 13
2 Argentina U20 5 3 1 1 10:8 10
3 Colombia U20 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
4 Paraguay U20 5 3 0 2 7:10 9
5 Uruguay U20 5 0 1 4 5:10 1
6 Chile U20 5 0 1 4 4:11 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Main)