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Paraguay U20 W vs Brazil U20 W

South America South America

South American Championship Women U20 Estadio Carfem
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Nogueira C.
17' Event
Nayara S.
60' Event
Bareiro A.
Assist: Martinez Ovando C.

AI Match Summary

Brazil U20 W in this South American Championship Women U20 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Brazil U20 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Paraguay U20 W
6%
Draws
90%
Brazil U20 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Brazil U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Brazil U20 W lately — more wins on the board than Paraguay U20 W.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Brazil U20 W taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this South American Championship Women U20 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Brazil U20 W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Paraguay U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Brazil U20 W Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay U20 W Brazil U20 W
Matches Played 34 35
Wins 12 27
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 0.63 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 South American Championship Women U20
Paraguay U20 W vs Brazil U20 W
1:3
Nov 29, 2025 Friendly International Women
Brazil U20 W vs Paraguay U20 W
7:0
Apr 26, 2024 South American Championship Women U20
Paraguay U20 W vs Brazil U20 W
0:3
Apr 15, 2022 South American Championship Women U20
Brazil U20 W vs Paraguay U20 W
1:0
Mar 8, 2020 South American Championship Women U20
Brazil U20 W vs Paraguay U20 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraguay U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bareiro A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Brazil U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nogueira C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nayara S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay U20 W 10 / 100
Brazil U20 W 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay U20 W Brazil U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Paraguay U20 W found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (34 games).

Brazil U20 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 40% of 35 matches.

Solid form: Paraguay U20 W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay U20 W VS Brazil U20 W
0.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%