Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Levi's Stadium

Australia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Paraguay play Australia in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paraguay averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. Australia averaged 1.72 goals scored and 0.72 conceded. In past meetings, Paraguay won 0, Australia won 2, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 26, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Paraguay and 1.31 for Australia. This points to a Australia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Paraguay

35%

Draws

36%

Australia

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Australia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence

Paraguay picked up more points recently compared to Australia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 60%

Over 2.5 Goals 44%

Over 3.5 Goals 26%

Over 4.5 Goals 13%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%

Paraguay Clean Sheet 18%

Australia Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 54%

Second Half Goal 57%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Paraguay	Australia
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	16
Draws	8	6
Losses	9	7
Goals Scored	1.1	1.72
Goals Conceded	1.1	0.72
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 World Championship

Paraguay vs Australia

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Jun 16, 2021 Copa América

Paraguay vs Australia

Possession: 43% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Oct 9, 2010 Friendly International

Australia vs Paraguay

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Oct 7, 2006 Friendly International

Australia vs Paraguay

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Jun 13, 2000 Friendly International

Australia vs Paraguay

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay 30 / 100

Australia 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Paraguay Australia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Australia or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15.7%

2.63

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paraguay attacking → ← attacking Australia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Australia let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Paraguay went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Australia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 54

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6:0	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2:3	4
3	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2:3	3
4	Czech Republic	3	0	1	2	2:6	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7:3	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8:3	4
3	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5:6	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2:10	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7:1	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6:3	7
3	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1:4	3
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8:4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
3	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2:4	4
4	Turkey	3	1	0	2	3:5	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10:4	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4:2	6
3	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
4	Curacao	3	0	1	2	1:9	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10:4	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7:3	5
3	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7:7	4
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6:2	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5:3	5
3	Iran	3	0	3	0	3:3	3
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4:10	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5:0	7
2	Cape Verde	3	0	3	0	2:2	3
3	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3:4	2
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1:5	2

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10:2	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8:7	6
3	Senegal	3	1	2	8:6	3
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8:1	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6:6	4
3	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5:7	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3:8	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4:1	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6:1	5
3	D.R. Congo	3	1	1	1	4:3	4
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6:2	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5:5	6
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2:2	4
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0:4	0