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Paraguay vs France

World World

World Championship 2026 Lincoln Financial Field
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Barcola B.
58'
Sub
Alderete O. In: Canale J.
Out: Alderete O.
61'
Sub
Enciso J. In: Caballero G.
Out: Enciso J.

AI Match Summary

France in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored France.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Paraguay
6%
Draws
90%
France
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: France

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Paraguay haven't matched France's recent run of results.
  • Model gives France a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Paraguay Clean Sheet 10%
France Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraguay France
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 23
Draws 8 2
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.5 2.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 World Championship
Paraguay vs France
0:1
Jun 2, 2017 Friendly International
France vs Paraguay
5:0
Jun 1, 2014 Friendly International
France vs Paraguay
1:1
May 31, 2008 Friendly International
France vs Paraguay
0:0
Jun 28, 1998 World Championship
France vs Paraguay
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraguay 10 / 100
France 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraguay France

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraguay scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Paraguay stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

France has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Paraguay VS France
1.5 Goals Scored 2.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Germany1
Paraguay2
France3
Sweden0
South Africa0
Canada1
Netherlands1
Morocco2
Portugal2
Croatia1
Spain3
Austria0
USA2
Bosnia & Herzegovina0
Belgium3
Senegal2
Brazil2
Japan1
Ivory Coast1
Norway2
Mexico2
Ecuador0
England2
D.R. Congo1
Argentina3
Cape Verde2
Australia1
Egypt2
Switzerland2
Algeria0
Colombia1
Ghana0
1/8-finals
Paraguay0
France1
Canada0
Morocco3
Portugal0
Spain1
USA1
Belgium4
Brazil1
Norway2
Mexico2
England3
Argentina3
Egypt2
Switzerland1
Colombia0
Quarter-finals
France2
Morocco0
Spain2
Belgium1
Norway1
England2
Argentina3
Switzerland1
Semi-finals
France0
Spain2
England1
Argentina2
Final
Spain-
Argentina-
France-
England-