Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paraiba vs Atletico Cajazeirense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Paraibano 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paraiba play Atletico Cajazeirense in the Campeonato Paraibano 2017. It looks like a close match. Recently, Paraiba averaged 0.61 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Atletico Cajazeirense averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Paraiba won 0, Atletico Cajazeirense won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 15, 2017 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Paraiba and 1.55 for Atletico Cajazeirense. This points to a Atletico Cajazeirense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Paraiba
32%
Draws
47%
Atletico Cajazeirense
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Atletico Cajazeirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Paraiba picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Cajazeirense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.55 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Paraiba Clean Sheet 15%
Atletico Cajazeirense Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraiba Atletico Cajazeirense
Matches Played 18 36
Wins 1 15
Draws 8 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.61 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.03

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2017 Paraibano
Atletico Cajazeirense vs Paraiba
0:0
Jan 18, 2017 Paraibano
Paraiba vs Atletico Cajazeirense
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraiba 22 / 100
Atletico Cajazeirense 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraiba Atletico Cajazeirense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Atletico Cajazeirense or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.1%
2.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paraiba attacking → ← attacking Atletico Cajazeirense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraiba scored in 44% of their last 18 games.

Atletico Cajazeirense let in goals in 58% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Paraiba went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Cajazeirense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 54
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Botafogo PB18131429:1340
2Campinense18105329:1635
3Treze PB1878316:829
4Atletico Cajazeirense1876517:1127
5Auto Esporte1874724:2225
6Serrano PB1864822:2922
7Sousa1856722:2421
8CSP18531013:2318
9Internacional PB1837816:2816
10Paraiba1818911:2511