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Paraiso EC U20 vs Bela Vista U20

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paraiso EC U20 play Bela Vista U20 in the Tocantinense U20 2025. Bela Vista U20 are favorites here. Recently, Paraiso EC U20 averaged 1.56 goals scored and 2 conceded. Bela Vista U20 averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.35 conceded. In past meetings, Paraiso EC U20 won 0, Bela Vista U20 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 1, 2025 ended 2:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.33 for Paraiso EC U20 and 1.98 for Bela Vista U20. This points to a Bela Vista U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Paraiso EC U20
15%
Draws
59%
Bela Vista U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bela Vista U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Paraiso EC U20 picked up more points recently compared to Bela Vista U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.33 vs 1.98 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Paraiso EC U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Bela Vista U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraiso EC U20 Bela Vista U20
Matches Played 9 17
Wins 2 5
Draws 0 4
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.56 1.47
Goals Conceded 2 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.33 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2025 Tocantinense U20
Paraiso EC U20 vs Bela Vista U20
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraiso EC U20 25 / 100
Bela Vista U20 55 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraiso EC U20 Bela Vista U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bela Vista U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Bela Vista U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Paraiso EC U20 attacking → ← attacking Bela Vista U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paraiso EC U20 scored in 44% of their last 9 games.

Bela Vista U20 let in goals in 71% of their last 17 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Paraiso EC U20 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bela Vista U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

6 Points in last 5 19
1.17 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
2.33 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmas U20430114:49
2Araguaia (TO) U20430114:69
3Gurupi U2042028:96
4Uniao de Palmas U2042026:96
5Alvorada U2040042:160
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Batalhao U20430111:59
2Capital FC U20421117:77
3Interporto U20421110:77
4Taquarussu U20420210:96
5Central Tocantinense U2040042:220
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Araguaina U20440010:212
2SD Sparta U20421110:67
3Guarai SC U2041127:64
4Tocantins U2031026:73
5Araguacema U2030030:120
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tocantinopolis U2043018:29
2Uniao Carmolandense U2042206:48
3Bela Vista U2042119:57
4Paraiso EC U2041036:83
5Arsenal EC U2040132:121