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Paraiso EC vs Araguaia (TO) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2
Paraiso EC Logo

Paraiso EC

2 - 3
FT
Araguaia (TO) Logo

Araguaia (TO)

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Araguaia (TO) in this Tocantinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Araguaia (TO).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Paraiso EC
15%
Draws
85%
Araguaia (TO)
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Araguaia (TO)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Araguaia (TO) lately — more wins on the board than Paraiso EC.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Araguaia (TO) taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%
Araguaia (TO) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraiso EC Araguaia (TO)
Matches Played 28 19
Wins 4 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.61 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.64 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tocantinense 2
Paraiso EC vs Araguaia (TO)
2:3
Oct 12, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Paraiso EC vs Araguaia (TO)
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraiso EC 10 / 100
Araguaia (TO) 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraiso EC Araguaia (TO)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Araguaia (TO) Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Araguaia (TO) conceded in 74% of 19 recent games.

Paraiso EC's goal record stands at 32% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Away concern: Araguaia (TO) has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paraiso EC VS Araguaia (TO)
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraiso EC

(Home)
03 Oct
Guarai SC
4 : 1
Paraiso EC
26 Sept
Paraiso EC
2 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
19 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 8
Interporto
12 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 3
Batalhao
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
Page 1 of 6

Araguaia (TO)

(Away)
03 Oct
Interporto
3 : 1
Araguaia (TO)
26 Sept
Paraiso EC
2 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
15 Sept
Taquarussu
1 : 5
Araguaia (TO)
12 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
3 : 0
Uniao de Palmas
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose (TO) 5 4 1 0 21:4 13
2 Interporto 5 4 1 0 15:3 13
3 Guarai SC 5 3 2 0 21:5 11
4 Batalhao 5 3 0 2 18:3 9
5 Araguaia (TO) 5 3 0 2 12:9 9
6 Taquarussu 5 1 0 4 2:18 3
7 Paraiso EC 5 0 0 5 3:24 0
8 Uniao de Palmas 5 0 0 5 1:27 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 (Play Offs)