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Parana vs Foz do Iguacu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Parana Estádio Durival Britto e Silva, Curitiba
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Parana
35%
Draws
27%
Foz do Iguacu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Parana come out ahead of Foz do Iguacu on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Parana's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Parana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Parana, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Parana Clean Sheet 68%
Foz do Iguacu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Parana Foz do Iguacu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.36 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.49 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Copa Parana
Parana vs Foz do Iguacu
1:1
Jun 2, 2024 Paranaense 2
Foz do Iguacu vs Parana
0:0
Jan 24, 2019 Paranaense
Parana vs Foz do Iguacu
4:0
Mar 18, 2018 Paranaense
Foz do Iguacu vs Parana
0:2
Jan 29, 2017 Paranaense
Parana vs Foz do Iguacu
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parana 77 / 100
Foz do Iguacu 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Parana Foz do Iguacu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Parana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parana has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Parana scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Foz do Iguacu has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Parana VS Foz do Iguacu
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.86
88% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Parana

(Home)
27 Sept
Parana
3 : 0
Paranavai-PR
21 Sept
Londrina B
2 : 2
Parana
13 Sept
Azuriz
0 : 0
Parana
05 Sept
Parana
2 : 1
FC Cascavel
29 Aug
Athletico-PR B
1 : 2
Parana
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Foz do Iguacu

(Away)
27 Sept
Foz do Iguacu
1 : 0
Athletico-PR B
19 Sept
Sao Joseense
1 : 1
Foz do Iguacu
13 Sept
Foz do Iguacu
2 : 2
Londrina B
05 Sept
Azuriz
2 : 0
Foz do Iguacu
29 Aug
FC Cascavel
1 : 3
Foz do Iguacu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
2 Athletico-PR B 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
3 Foz do Iguacu 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
4 Paranavai-PR 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
5 Azuriz 5 2 1 2 3:2 7
6 Londrina B 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
7 FC Cascavel 5 1 1 3 9:10 4
8 Sao Joseense 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
Promotion - Copa Parana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Parana (Play Offs)