Sport Picks

Brazil

Paranaense 2 Arena da Baixada

Parana

2 - 1

Patriotas

Our Tip

Match Events

54'

Theobald C.

60'

Thiago Dombroski

73'

Daniel Cruz

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Parana in this Paranaense 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Parana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Parana

Draws

Patriotas

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Parana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Parana lately — more wins on the board than Patriotas.
Model gives Parana a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

Parana Clean Sheet 68%

Patriotas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Parana	Patriotas
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	16	14
Draws	9	6
Losses	7	10
Goals Scored	2.38	1.5
Goals Conceded	0.5	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Paranaense 2

Parana vs Patriotas

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Jul 14, 2024 Paranaense 2

Parana vs Patriotas

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Jul 6, 2024 Paranaense 2

Patriotas vs Parana

Possession: 50% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Jun 15, 2024 Paranaense 2

Parana vs Patriotas

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 3 - 2

1:0

Jun 25, 2023 Paranaense 2

Parana vs Patriotas

Possession: 48% - 40% Cards: 3 - 0

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Parana Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago Dombroski

1 Goals

Assists Leader Daniel Cruz

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Patriotas Compare

Top Goalscorer Theobald C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Parana 95 / 100

Patriotas 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Parana Patriotas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Parana scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Patriotas let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Parana went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Parana VS Patriotas

2.38 Goals Scored 1.5

0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 63%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Parana	9	7	2	0	14:3	23
2	Patriotas	9	6	1	2	16:9	19
3	Laranja Mecanica	9	4	2	3	7:9	14
4	Araucaria	9	3	3	3	13:14	12
5	Rio Branco PR	9	2	5	2	16:14	11
6	Paranavai-PR	9	3	1	5	10:11	10
7	Nacional PR	9	2	4	3	9:12	10
8	Toledo	9	2	4	3	6:10	10
9	Batel	9	2	3	4	10:10	9
10	Prudentopolis	9	1	1	7	4:13	4