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Paranavai-PR vs Sao Joseense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Parana
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Paranavai-PR
30%
Draws
8%
Sao Joseense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paranavai-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Paranavai-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Paranavai-PR a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Paranavai-PR have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Paranavai-PR, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Paranavai-PR Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Joseense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paranavai-PR Sao Joseense
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.43 0.69
Goals Conceded 1 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Copa Parana
Paranavai-PR vs Sao Joseense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paranavai-PR 95 / 100
Sao Joseense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paranavai-PR Sao Joseense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paranavai-PR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paranavai-PR found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Paranavai-PR has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sao Joseense's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Defensive concern: Sao Joseense conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Paranavai-PR VS Sao Joseense
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Paranavai-PR

(Home)
27 Sept
Parana
3 : 0
Paranavai-PR
20 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 1
FC Cascavel
13 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 0
Sao Joseense
07 Sept
Athletico-PR B
0 : 3
Paranavai-PR
02 Sept
Londrina B
0 : 0
Paranavai-PR
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Sao Joseense

(Away)
02 Oct
Athletico-PR B
1 : 0
Sao Joseense
26 Sept
Sao Joseense
1 : 4
FC Cascavel
19 Sept
Sao Joseense
1 : 1
Foz do Iguacu
13 Sept
Paranavai-PR
1 : 0
Sao Joseense
07 Sept
Londrina B
3 : 2
Sao Joseense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parana 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
2 Athletico-PR B 6 3 0 3 6:8 9
3 Foz do Iguacu 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
4 Paranavai-PR 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
5 Azuriz 5 2 1 2 3:2 7
6 Londrina B 5 1 3 1 7:7 6
7 FC Cascavel 5 1 1 3 9:10 4
8 Sao Joseense 6 1 1 4 5:10 4
Promotion - Copa Parana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Parana (Play Offs)