Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Paranoa U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense U20 game between Paranoa U20 and Gremio Valparaiso U20 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio Valparaiso U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Paranoa U20
15%
Draws
42%
Gremio Valparaiso U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paranoa U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Gremio Valparaiso U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Paranoa U20 are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Paranoa U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Gremio Valparaiso U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paranoa U20 Gremio Valparaiso U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Paranoa U20 vs Gremio Valparaiso U20
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paranoa U20 56 / 100
Gremio Valparaiso U20 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paranoa U20 Gremio Valparaiso U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paranoa U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Paranoa U20's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gremio Valparaiso U20 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Gremio Valparaiso U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paranoa U20 VS Gremio Valparaiso U20
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Paranoa U20

(Home)
26 Jul
Paranoa U20
2 : 0
Cruzeiro DF U20
11 Jul
Canaa U20
7 : 0
Paranoa U20
04 Jul
Paranoa U20
0 : 4
Real Brasilia U20
28 Jun
Luziania U20
0 : 2
Paranoa U20
20 Jun
Planaltina U20
3 : 2
Paranoa U20
Page 1 of 6

Gremio Valparaiso U20

(Away)
26 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
4 : 2
Ceilandia U20
19 Jul
Planaltina U20
6 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
11 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
3 : 2
Cruzeiro DF U20
04 Jul
Gremio Valparaiso U20
0 : 4
Santa Maria U20
27 Jun
Canaa U20
4 : 0
Gremio Valparaiso U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 10 9 1 0 45:4 28
2 Capital DF U20 10 8 1 1 54:11 25
3 Samambaia U20 10 6 3 1 28:7 21
4 Sobradinho U20 10 6 2 2 40:5 20
5 Legiao U20 10 6 1 3 18:13 19
6 Candango U20 10 3 1 6 17:30 10
7 Taguatinga Esporte Clube U20 10 3 1 6 15:30 10
8 Gama U20 10 2 3 5 21:23 9
9 Brazlandia U20 10 2 2 6 14:31 8
10 Samambaense U20 10 2 0 8 5:46 6
11 ARUC U20 10 0 1 9 3:60 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa U20 10 10 0 0 48:6 30
2 Real Brasilia U20 10 9 0 1 48:5 27
3 Planaltina U20 10 7 1 2 30:9 22
4 Santa Maria U20 10 5 2 3 26:18 17
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 10 5 0 5 20:26 15
6 Brasilia U20 10 3 3 4 19:22 12
7 Paranoa U20 10 3 1 6 13:28 10
8 Ceilandia U20 10 2 2 6 21:38 8
9 Ceilandense U20 10 1 4 5 6:25 7
10 Cruzeiro DF U20 10 1 3 6 11:27 6
11 Luziania U20 10 0 2 8 5:43 2
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs)