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Paraty vs FC Rio de Janeiro

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Our Tip

Match Events

79' Event
da Silva Nascimento V. H.
83' Event
Assucao J. M.

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 game between Paraty and FC Rio de Janeiro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paraty.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Paraty
6%
Draws
4%
FC Rio de Janeiro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paraty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Paraty carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Paraty taking it.
  • Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Paraty Clean Sheet 20%
FC Rio de Janeiro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paraty FC Rio de Janeiro
Matches Played 30 19
Wins 12 3
Draws 5 2
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 3.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2025 Carioca B2
Paraty vs FC Rio de Janeiro
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Paraty Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Nascimento V. H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Assucao J. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FC Rio de Janeiro Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paraty 85 / 100
FC Rio de Janeiro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paraty FC Rio de Janeiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Rio de Janeiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 19 matches.

Paraty found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Paraty stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Paraty VS FC Rio de Janeiro
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Paraty

(Home)
09 Nov
Goytacaz
3 : 2
Paraty
06 Nov
Paraty
0 : 1
Santa Cruz RJ
26 Oct
Barra Mansa
1 : 2
Paraty
20 Oct
Paraty
1 : 1
7 de Abril
12 Oct
Serra Macaense
2 : 2
Paraty
Page 1 of 6

FC Rio de Janeiro

(Away)
09 Nov
FC Rio de Janeiro
3 : 0
Barra Mansa
06 Nov
7 de Abril
6 : 2
FC Rio de Janeiro
02 Nov
FC Rio de Janeiro
0 : 2
Serra Macaense
26 Oct
Belford Roxo
4 : 0
FC Rio de Janeiro
19 Oct
FC Rio de Janeiro
1 : 6
Macae
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Santa Cruz RJ871014:322
2Belford Roxo851217:816
3Goytacaz851213:816
4Macae841313:513
5Serra Macaense83419:713
6Paraty82249:108
77 de Abril822411:138
8FC Rio de Janeiro81077:253
9Barra Mansa80264:182
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)