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Paredes vs FC Cesarense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 game between Paredes and FC Cesarense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paredes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Paredes
6%
Draws
4%
FC Cesarense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Paredes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Paredes's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Paredes Clean Sheet 20%
FC Cesarense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paredes FC Cesarense
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 13 2
Draws 13 12
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Paredes vs FC Cesarense
2:1
Aug 26, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
FC Cesarense vs Paredes
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paredes 85 / 100
FC Cesarense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paredes FC Cesarense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cesarense let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Paredes scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Paredes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Paredes VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Espinho34209552:2069
2Lusitania FC341912352:2769
3Gondomar341810650:2264
4Agueda341612643:2660
5Lusitano FCV34178959:2859
6Sanjoanense341510944:3455
7Amarante FC341591045:2854
8Coimbroes3413101143:3949
9Maritimo B341213953:4049
10Paredes341371442:3346
11U. Madeira341281428:3544
12Leca341271534:4143
13Pedras Rubras349151036:4342
14Cinfaes341181533:4041
15Gafanha341141946:6937
16Penalva do Castelo34772027:6628
17FC Cesarense344131737:5525
18Meda34023221:992