Sport Picks

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Paredes vs Leca

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 Municipal das Laranjeiras, Paredes
Sun, Aug 23, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Paredes host Leca in the Liga 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Paredes at 1.45 goals for, 0.93 against; Leca at 1.9 for, 1.07 against. Head-to-head, Paredes have won 3 to Leca's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 25, 2025, ending 2:5. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.69) point toward Leca. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Paredes
30%
Draws
31%
Leca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Paredes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Paredes haven't matched Leca's recent run of results.
  • Paredes are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Paredes Clean Sheet 13%
Leca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Paredes Leca
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 16
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.45 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Leca vs Paredes
2:5
May 4, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Paredes vs Leca
2:0
May 1, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Leca vs Paredes
1:0
Mar 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Paredes vs Leca
1:0
Dec 22, 2021 Taça de Portugal
Leca vs Paredes
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Paredes 75 / 100
Leca 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Paredes Leca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leca has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Paredes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Paredes's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Paredes VS Leca
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Paredes

(Home)
07 Aug
Paredes
3 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes B
01 Aug
Paredes
4 : 2
Lusitania FC
22 Jul
AFS
2 : 4
Paredes
18 Jul
Santa Clara
2 : 0
Paredes
03 May
Paredes
2 : 2
AD Marco 09
Page 1 of 6

Leca

(Away)
09 Aug
Leca
1 : 1
Sao Joao de Ver
29 Jul
Leca
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
15 Jul
Santa Clara
4 : 0
Leca
10 Jun
Leca
2 : 1
Vitoria Sernache
31 May
Leca
1 : 0
GD Braganca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paredes 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 AD Marco 09 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Varzim 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Leca 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Sao Joao de Ver 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 AD Fafe 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 SC Vianense 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Pacos Ferreira 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Trofense 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
10 Vitoria Guimaraes B 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mafra 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Covilha 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Atletico CP 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 CF Os Belenenses 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Louletano 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Oliveirense 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Caldas SC 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
8 Lusitano GC 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
9 Santarem 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Vitoria Sernache 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Relegation Group)